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Are Inverted Yield Curves Signaling a Recession or a Deflationary Boom?
Now that yield curves are inverting, investors seem to be bracing for bad news. In the last 100 years, inverted yield curves have foreshadowed recessions within roughly a year, as indicated by the below data points. Based on the 50 Years Ended 1929, We Believe the Yield Curve is Signaling a Deflationary Boom For […]
Addressing Concerns During Periods of Market Volatility
Given the recent move in interest rates, intensified trade tensions, and increased market volatility, we would like to share some of our thoughts. We presented two charts during our monthly mARKet update webinar this past week that offer some perspective. The chart above suggests that Fed policy is not tight. Before or during past crises, the […]
Climbing the Wall of Worry: Disruptive Innovation Could Add Fuel to This Bull Market
The Equity Market Continues to Climb the Wall of Worry Concerned that the nine-year bull run has overstayed its welcome, many strategists have highlighted the narrow leadership of the US stock market as it has bucked weakening trends elsewhere in the world. Through June, the so-called FAANG stocks had accounted for 75% of the S&P […]
December mARKet Update
December mARKet update Spotlight: Flattening Yield Curves, Bitcoin Futures, and more… ‘mARKet update’ | What We Discovered This Month We invite you to join our 30-minute monthly webinar series presented by ARK’s Chief Investment Officer, Catherine D. Wood, and her teams of thematic analysts. The webinar offers a Q&A-based discussion on recent market developments, […]
Are Flattening Yield Curves Signaling A Deflationary Boom As We Approach 2018?
After a business trip to beautiful Australia last week, I came away with questions and concerns which have been weighing on the minds of investors around the world. Chief among them are equity valuations after nearly nine years of a bull market, and flattening yield curves which typically have been harbingers of recession. Our conclusions […]
