Defying The Skeptics With Exponential Growth

Electric <br>Vehicles
By: Sam Korus

Investors once questioned whether the future was electric. Demand for EVs has scaled despite a pause in cost declines caused by commodity price shocks. Now investors doubt whether or not the growth will be exponential.

The debate around electric vehicles has shifted from demand to supply. Based on Wright’s Law, ARK forecasts that EV prices will decline and sales will increase more than 7-fold, or 50% at an annual rate, from roughly 7.8 million in 2022 to 60 million units in 2027.

The biggest downside risks to our forecast are supply constraints that could continue to impact pricing and the speed at which traditional automakers transition to electric vehicles.


Sources: ARK Investment Management LLC, 2023. Forecasts are inherently limited and cannot be relied upon. For informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any particular security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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